During
the recent campaign for the State Duma elections,
President Vladimir Putin declared corruption
a threat to national security that must
be countered by imposing "law and order."
His proclamation,
following Mikhail Khodorkovsky's arrest
on fraud and tax evasion charges, has fueled
intense speculation that officials loyal
to the president singled out the Yukos chief
due to his growing financial support of
opposition parties in the Duma.
The stakes raised
by the actions of the Prosecutor General's
Office and other government agencies are
high for Western governments, multilateral
banks and foreign investors that have bet
the country is headed toward democratic
capitalism.
By leading Yukos
to accept standards of corporate governance,
Khodorkovsky had become "Exhibit A" for
the case that the country should be included
in Western institutions as a market economy.
In response to
Khodorkovsky's prosecution, U.S. Senators
John McCain and Joseph Lieberman introduced
a bill on Capitol Hill to exclude Russia
from the G-8 group of market democracies.
On Dec. 7, the
pro-Putin United Russia, along with nationalist
parties that promise to reclaim the country's
wealth from billionaires such as Khodorkovsky,
won a comfortable majority in the Duma.
Now that Putin
has consolidated his power and Khodorkovsky
sits in jail awaiting trial, how will the
president use his mandate to promote "law
and order" and social justice? And how should
the West respond?
To attack corruption,
the president must demonstrate that no one
is above the law. Notwithstanding their
recent commitment to corporate governance,
Khodorkovsky and other business leaders
continue to use patrons in the government
to secure favorable decrees, licenses, tenders
and tax treatment.
This practice has
become so pervasive that Russia suffers
from "state capture," a condition where
it cannot operate as a law-based state,
regulate markets fairly and allocate resources
efficiently.
Putin, however,
cannot ensure equality before the law if
government officials have the discretion
to engage in selective prosecutions.
Following Khodorkovsky's
arrest, the Prosecutor General's Office
froze public trading in certain shares of
Yukos, which have now fallen in price by
over 30 percent.
Yukos has been
unable to merge with junior partner Sibneft
on terms that would have created one of
the largest oil companies in the world.
The result of the investigation is that
Yukos' property is being redistributed by
prosecutorial fiat.
Putin has sought
to assure Western stakeholders that Khodorkovsky
will receive a fair and open trial. Many
are inclined to give the president the benefit
of the doubt.
After a recent
meeting with Putin, International Monetary
Fund chairman Horst KЪhler stated that the
prosecution of Khodorkovsky does not signify
a reversal of economic and legal reform.
Such "happy talk"
misconstrues the dilemma the West faces
in Russia today. Though the Putin government
has adopted new commercial laws and criminal
procedures, it has not shaped institutions
capable of executing, adjudicating or enforcing
them. Without such institutions, neither
property nor contract rights are enforceable.
In the 1990s, despite
concerns that Yeltsin's government was privatizing
state enterprises too quickly, the IMF,
World Bank and foreign governments agreed
to financially support the process.
This "Washington
consensus" was based on the belief that
an independent judiciary and other institutions
would sprout naturally to protect the private
wealth of a middle-class spawned by privatization.
Instead of a middle
class, the rapid privatization empowered
a class of "rent-seekers" -- those who profit
by using their access to the power to control
state assets.
Instead of a rule
of law, rent-seekers created the "law of
rules."
Under this system
state institutions, including public prosecutors,
courts and bailiffs, can be manipulated
to reexamine or reverse the privatization
of Yukos or any Russian company.
Under the law of
rules, there are no free rides for foreign
investors. Any business -- even one with
clean hands -- may have its property seized,
its profits squeezed, its people prosecuted
as criminals.
For example, in
the name of vaguely defined "state interests,"
officials in Russia's regions have engaged
in "discretionary expropriation" of foreign
businesses sanctioned by local courts.
The evidence is
mounting that the Kremlin is seeking to
engineer the construction of a market economy
without a rule of law based on a strict
separation of powers.
To hold the government
accountable to protect private property,
Western stakeholders must find common language
with Putin over the precise role of institutions
in building a law-based state.
Recently, Prime
Minister Mikhail Kasyanov declared that
the government would eventually seek to
bring the Prosecutor General's Office under
the control of the Ministry of Justice.
In the meantime,
to restore confidence in the investment
climate, the Kremlin must strictly define
and curb the prosecutors' discretionary
powers, and clarify how the courts can exercise
independent judgment where the Prosecutor
General's Office, or any other government
agency, is representing state interests.
As a threat to
national security, corruption should be
a priority matter of mutual concern to Putin
and his supporters in the West. Western
stakeholders should closely monitor the
results of the president's efforts to recapture
the state from special interests.
For example, on
Nov. 24, Putin created an Anti-Corruption
Council to uncover conflicts of interest
among government officials. To attack the
institutional roots of corruption, however,
Putin must also be convinced to empower
independent courts and allow a free press.
As a sovereign
nation, Russia has the right to establish
its own rules of the game. Western stakeholders,
however, have the right both to know the
rules and to expect that they cannot be
changed at will. Currently, rent-seekers
can control both process and outcome.
Western parties
are entitled to know whether the country
intends to build a market governed not by
men, but by institutions and laws.
Matthew Murray,
president of management consultancy firm
Sovereign Ventures, Inc., contributed this
comment to The Moscow Times.
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